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Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Understanding

There are right answers and wrong answers to real problems in the world, and you can find them! Use statistics and the scientific method to understand economics, current events, and social issues. Inform your decisions, and make a difference!

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In a world full of opinions, fake news, and politically motivated spin, it's easy to throw up your hands and say that there's no way to know who is right. But there is a way! There are definitive answers to big questions: Is there evidence of systemic racism in the United States? Are minorities being more heavily impacted by Covid? Is the economy doing better or worse than in the past? These questions have answers, and you can find them! We use the scientific method and statistical models to find hard answers to these tough questions!

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Is Covid-19 really that bad?

Understanding Covid by looking at Excess Deaths I've been writing a series of articles that explain common elements of Covid models and how various characteristics impact Covid outcomes. In spite of my best efforts, there continues to be confusion around the true cause of death. Is Covid really that bad? Isn't it 'just like the flu?' Were pre-existing conditions the reason the individual died? I believe people also struggle with the 'low' numbers and probabilities. You often

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